Pennsylvania Politics

Saturday, September 27, 2008

Obama leading in national polls and many key battleground states; Analysis of debate and ads

Obama is leading in PA polls by 5 points and is now leading in VA polls. He has improved in all states and is even close in NC now.

I found both McCain and Obama to be strong in the debate last night. However, it was far from perfect. Obama should have been more of his time discussing the current state of the economy instead of taxes and earmarks, which is what Americans wanted to hear about, and was suppose to be a strong point with him (at least according to the polls). McCain seemed argumentative at times, and his body language seemed peculiar and sometimes bordering on disrespectful. McCain seemed to give this smirk every so often that reminded me of Gore fatal sighs of the 2000 campaign (though this has not been picked up by the mass media as of yet- we'll see what SNL is able to do tonight).

Overall, I would call it a tie, therefore giving the edge to Obama since he is ahead in most of the polls.

As of the ads- McCain decided to do an ad on how much Obama agrees with him and then concludes this will not make him a good leader (irony at its greatest). I really can't see why this will hurt Obama, as I think America wants bipartisan. In addition, he often agreed on the problem, yet differed on the method toward the solution. We have gone over this plenty in class. Both sides believe that Crime, terror, and depression are all bad, however, both sides have different proposals on how to solve these issues.

Obama's ad was alright. He claimed that John McCain never mentioned the middle class in the debate. Obama tried to tie this in with the economy crisis. The economy is a key issue among most Americans, and even though Obama didn't talk about, it gives the appearance that he is stronger on the issue. It looks like this ad was prepared days in advance as these words were plucked into his arguments, in hopes McCain wouldn't mention it. Maybe it was a strategy that Obama did not talk about the economy as he is no expert, it would sound complicated and elitist, and McCain could not mention the economy. More fodder for ads.

McCain post debate ad:
This was on the web before the debate even ended...Wow how many people do they have on their ad staff. Also do these guys ever talk about McCain or do they think they can only bash Obama.

Obama post debate ad:
This ad needs more pizazz. They need to hire somebody from the McCain group.

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